Research Alerts

Royal Dutch Shell(RDS.B-NYSE)

Q4 Results Disappoint but Increased Capital Budget Shows Lots of Growth Ahead - written by Rob Mark, CFA

February 3rd, 2012
RDS announced Q4 results that missed consensus by roughly 5%. Net income was $4.85 billion vs. consensus of $5.1 billion. Results were hurt by weak refining margins that offset decent results from the upstream. Refining margins were down in most global markets in the fourth quarter but have rallied strongly in Q1 thanks to a number of refinery closures.


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Chartwell Seniors Housing REIT(CSH.UN-TSX)

Solid Industry Fundamentals will Drive Growth - written by P. Christopher Sears

February 1st, 2012
Chartwell Seniors Housing REIT is one of the largest participants in the seniors housing business in North America. It owns and operates seniors housing communities ranging from independent supportive living to assisted living to long-term care. It operates over 25,000 suites located in key markets throughout North America (approximately ¾ in Canada and the rest in the U.S.).

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Metro Inc.(MRU.A-TSX)

Continuing to Execute Soundly in a Highly Competitive Market - written by William J. Chisholm, CFA

February 1st, 2012
Q1 2012: Metro started fiscal 2012 with a strong Q1. Net earnings rose 8.6% to $103.7 million or to $1.01 per share from $0.91. Results for both years are under IFRS accounting with the Q1 2011 results being restated upwards by $0.03 per share. EPS were slightly above expectations. The quarterly dividend was raised 11.7% to $0.215 per share.


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Dundee International REIT(DI.UN-TSX)

A Play on International Commercial Real Estate - written by P. Christopher Sears

February 1st, 2012
Dundee International REIT allows investors to participate in the growth of international commercial real estate and diversify their real estate holdings all the while remaining within the Canadian tax advantaged REIT structure. Currently, the company’s assets are exclusively in Germany and consist of over 290 properties for a total of 12.3 million square feet.


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Apple Inc.(AAPL-NASDAQ)

WOW - written by Troy Crandall

January 25th, 2012
Apple reported extremely strong Q1 f2012 results with nearly all metrics well above Street estimates. Revenue of $46.3 billion grew 73.3% Y/Y beating consensus estimates of $38.9 billion. EPS of $13.87 rose 115.7% Y/Y, also widely ahead of Street forecasts of $10.08.  Gross margin of 44.7% hit an all-time high for the company and easily beat both Street estimates and management’s guidance. The large 620 bps Y/Y expansion in gross margin was largely the result of a shift in product mix towards iPhones, although favourable component and other product costs were also a factor. Management expects the favourable component pricing environment to continue throughout Q2, although gross margin is guided lower Q/Q on a higher U.S. dollar and seasonally weaker iPhone sales.

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Microsoft Corporation(MSFT-NASDAQ)

Enterprise Saves the Day Again; Solid Q2 Results - written by Troy Crandall

January 23rd, 2012
Despite market uneasiness centered on the potential impact that lower PC growth could have on Microsoft going into the quarter, the company reported Q2 f2012 results in line with Street expectations.  Revenue of $20.9 billion (+4.7% Y/Y) was dead-on analysts' consensus forecasts, while EPS of $0.78 (+1.3% Y/Y) beat Street expectations by $0.02.


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The Jean Coutu Group (PJC) Inc.(PJC.A-TSX)

Achieving Solid Operating Results Despite More Restrictive Pricing Environment - written by William J. Chisholm, CFA

January 9th, 2012
Q3 2012: The Jean Coutu Group’s results remained at the upper end of expectations in Q3 2012 with net earnings up 5.9% to $51.7 million. EPS rose to $0.23 from $0.21 in the quarter and to $0.64 (pre unusual) from $0.58 for the 39 weeks ended November 26, 2011. The earnings growth primarily reflected improved operating performance in its core distribution business and was achieved despite lower prices for generic drugs.


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Telus Corporation(T-TSX)

Another Solid Year on the Horizon for Telus - written by Troy Crandall

December 20th, 2011
Telus issued its annual financial outlook updating both its 2011 guidance and its forecast for 2012. Guidance ranges for 2011 were all maintained, with consolidated revenue now expected to be at the top-end of the previously guided range. Management expects both consolidated EBITDA and EPS to be in the middle of the guided ranges, despite chatter that Q4 EBITDA could be pressured by subsidies associated with strong iPhone 4S sales in the quarter.


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Painted Pony Petroleum(PPY.A-TSX)

$200 Million Budget Released. Aggressive Drilling Should Double Production in 2012 - written by Rob Mark, CFA

December 14th, 2011
PPY announced Q3 results and its 2012 budget recently. CFPS was $0.15, in-line with consensus. Most of the key results from the quarter were pre-announced including impressive drilling results on the company’s Montney shale gas resource play.


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Costco Wholesale Corporation(COST-NASDAQ)

Growing Strongly in Both the US and International Markets - written by William J. Chisholm, CFA

December 12th, 2011
Q1 2012: Costco maintained its strong revenue growth in Q1 2012 but two non recurring items held the gain in net earnings to 2.6%. Diluted EPS of $0.73 were modestly above the $0.71 earned in Q1 2011 but exclusive of two special items, EPS rose 12.7% to $0.80. The special charges were an unfavorable tax audit in its 50% owned Mexican joint venture and a $17 million contribution to a campaign to reform alcoholic beverage laws in its home State of Washington.


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North West Company Inc.(NWC-TSX)

Food Business Growing Nicely in all Markets - written by William J. Chisholm, CFA

December 12th, 2011
Q3 2011: Another flat quarter as food sales remained strong, particularly in northern markets, while general merchandise was weak in both Giant Tiger and Cost-U-Less. EPS declined to $0.35 from $0.46 but on a pre-tax basis earnings rose 0.8%.


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